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Posts Tagged ‘U.S. government’

There is growing talk about another confiscation of gold by the U.S. government as gold prices continue to set new all-time highs since 2008. I’ve heard at least three shows this week raise that possibility.

On May 22, 2010, Al Korelin, host of the Korelin Economics Report, had Louis James of the Casey Research Organization on in the last segment of the first hour.

Al Korelin: “One of them is the question of government confiscation, which is something I haven’t thought about, but more and more of my guests are bringing it up. I think that’s an interesting consideration. It has happened before.

Louis James: “It is something that has been done before, and not just by banana republics. The United States government confiscated privately held gold, during the Great Depression era, and yes, that could happen again. Our feeling has long been that that could happen, but the point at which that would happen, the point at which the government would even be willing to talk about gold being an issue, we would already see huge increases in the price of gold. It would become a public problem before the government were to take action. So there would: a) be warning and b) already huge increases for holders of gold and gold in dollar terms.

I agree with James that there would be warning, and a substantial increase over the current price of gold of around $1200 USD an ounce before the U.S. government is likely to confiscate gold again.

It is important to remember that if gold is confiscated again in a similar way to the 1933 precedent, there would be certain exceptions. At the time, they included:

“Gold coins having a recognized special value to collectors of rare and unusual coins,” and “gold coin and gold certificates in an amount not exceeding in the aggregate of $100 belonging to any one person.”

Gold then was worth $20.67 an ounce before the confiscation, and $35 an ounce from then until August 1971, which was equal to 2.8 to 4.8 ounces of gold during that time.

If a future gold confiscation is similar to the 1933 confiscation, it is likely that individuals will be able to keep a similar amount of non-collector gold. The way to keep all your gold in such a scenario would be to buy numismatic gold. That is, gold with a significant premium value over its metal content.

To really be on the safe side, you should consider diversifying into silver, and especially platinum and palladium. Find out why platinum is the overlooked investment metal and currency, and how palladium was the best performing precious metal currency of 2009.

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Since 2009, I have heard two prominent financial analysts repeatedly make the claim on multiple programs, including two major ones with over a million weekly listeners, that gold and silver are all you can rely on. But what about platinum?

How much can you really rely on gold and silver, when gold was confiscated by the U.S. government in 1933 at the height of the Great Depression, and silver in 1934. And how can you specifically rely on gold when it’s the commodity most controlled by the international bankers, and a reserve currency for national and international banks?

Unlike gold and silver, a confiscation of platinum is unlikely for several reasons:
1) It’s not a reserve currency for national and international banks like gold is.
2) It isn’t as widely held as gold and silver.
3) Its historical investment and currency use is shorter than gold and silver.
4) Its decreased demand relative to gold and silver in a recession, due to its overwhelming industrial demand, leading to better performance during the subsequent recovery.

When I mention platinum as an investment comparable to gold and silver, I’ve been told that platinum has little to no historical use as a currency. As I wrote previously, platinum has an international currency code along with gold, silver and palladium. Since 1988, one ounce platinum coins from the Royal Canadian Mint have a legal tender value of $50. Since 1997, American Platinum Eagles from the United States Mint have a legal tender value of $100.

From 1967-1978, the first and only regularly minted gold coin available for the masses was the South African Krugerrand. However, due to trade sanctions imposed by many Western countries on South Africa for their policy of apartheid, the Krugerrand’s availability was severely limited from the 1970s until 1994.

It got some serious competition in 1979, when the Royal Canadian Mint began minting Canadian Gold Maple Leaf coins. Just nine years later, at the height of sanctions on the import of Krugerrands, one ounce platinum coins were minted by the Royal Canadian Mint between 1988, and continued to be minted until 2002, and were reintroduced in 2009.

Not only can you rely on platinum as a historically non-confiscatable metal, you can also rely on it historically trading at a substantial premium over gold. Over most of the past decade, platinum has traded at a 50 to 100% premium over gold. At a 38% premium over gold at the end of January 2010, it still has plenty of room to appreciate to its historical trading premium relative to gold.

Recently, platinum outperformed gold in 2009, and for the first month of 2010.

Now ask yourself why you’re being told that gold and silver, and not platinum, are the only things you can rely on, why gold and silver are being pushed so much, and not platinum, and why most of you haven’t heard these things about platinum before.

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American International Group (AIG), bailed out by the U.S. government in September 2008, provided a great return on investment for its primary shareholder, from August to September, 2009.

This may prove to be the biggest increase of all non-penny stocks in 35 or fewer trading days this year.

On August 4, it went from a low of $12.97 to a high of $54.40 on September 22 — a 319% increase over 35 trading days.

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